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StudyOpioid use disorder2019

Morgan 2019: overdose risk on naltrexone vs buprenorphine in insurance data

Morgan JR, Schackman BR, Weinstein ZM, Walley AY, Linas BP. Overdose following initiation of naltrexone and buprenorphine medication treatment for opioid use disorder in a United States commercially insured cohort

What it found

In US insurance data on 46,846 people starting medicine for opioid use disorder, buprenorphine was linked to a lower risk of opioid overdose than no treatment (HR 0.40), but neither the naltrexone shot (HR 0.74) nor naltrexone pills (HR 0.93) showed a significant link. Stopping any medicine wasn't linked to overdose in the next four weeks.

Overdose risk on buprenorphine vs no treatment
HR = 0.40
Overdose risk on the naltrexone shot
HR = 0.74
Overdose risk on naltrexone pills
HR = 0.93

What they tested

Researchers followed commercially insured people in the United States who were diagnosed with opioid use disorder and started medication between 2010 and 2016. They compared the risk of an opioid-related overdose, identified from diagnosis codes, during time on each medicine with time off treatment.

They also checked whether overdose risk rose in the four weeks after people stopped a medicine.

What they found

1,386 people were prescribed the extended-release naltrexone shot (a median of 9 months of filled prescriptions), 7,782 oral naltrexone (5 months) and 40,441 buprenorphine (19 months) at least once.

Buprenorphine was linked to a significantly lower risk of opioid overdose (HR 0.40, 95% CI 0.35-0.46). For the naltrexone shot (HR 0.74, 95% CI 0.42-1.31) and oral naltrexone (HR 0.93, 95% CI 0.71-1.22), no significant link was found.

There was no link between overdose and the four weeks after stopping any of the medicines.

Limits

  • People weren't randomly assigned to medicines, so the results show links, not cause and effect.
  • Far fewer people were on the naltrexone shot (1,386) than on buprenorphine, so its estimate was much less precise.
  • Only commercially insured people were included, and overdoses were identified from billing diagnosis codes.

What it means if you're considering naltrexone

In real-world insurance data, only buprenorphine was clearly linked to fewer overdoses during treatment. The result for the naltrexone shot pointed toward fewer overdoses but was too uncertain to call either way, so the study doesn't prove the shot fails to protect. The authors call for more research on the benefits and risks of each option.

Frequently asked questions

Does naltrexone prevent overdose?

In this study of US insurance records, neither the naltrexone shot nor naltrexone pills was significantly linked to fewer opioid overdoses during treatment, while buprenorphine was. Because people weren't randomized, it shows a link, not cause.

The paper

Morgan JR, Schackman BR, Weinstein ZM, Walley AY, Linas BP. Overdose following initiation of naltrexone and buprenorphine medication treatment for opioid use disorder in a United States commercially insured cohort. Drug Alcohol Depend. 2019;200:34-39. doi:10.1016/j.drugalcdep.2019.02.031

Read the paperdoi:10.1016/j.drugalcdep.2019.02.031

We wrote this page from the paper's published abstract, and the study's numbers here come from there. Updated October 17, 2026.

Medical disclaimer

This page is for information only and is not medical advice, diagnosis, or treatment. Don't start, stop, or change any medicine — including naltrexone — without your prescriber. Naltrexone must not be used by people taking opioid pain medicines, people dependent on opioids, or people in opioid withdrawal (FDA label). In an emergency call 911; for crisis support call or text 988. Full medical disclaimer.